Week 15 MLS Picks
After sneaking out a small win at the books in Week 14, we took the midweek US Open Cup games off. Now we’ve got a full slate of MLS action this weekend with another double game week on tap. The grind continues!
Before we get to the picks as normal, another reminder that we’ve got an addition to this weekly article in 2025. If you’ve been following along with the podcast during the offseason, you’ll know we’ve partnered with Underdog Fantasy. If you want to play along with us at Underdog, you can sign up today using this link and when you use promo code "NORTHEND" at sign up you'll get up to $1000 in bonus cash plus a free pick!
The official league injury report for Saturday’s games came out Friday afternoon, let’s dive into the Week 15 picks.
Underdog Fantasy Entry of the week
Each match week, we’ll have an Underdog Fantasy entry for you to tail if your heart desires. Let’s get to the board and build a winner!
We’ll begin the Week 15 entry with the GOAT. It’s been a rough few weeks for the “Pink Phony Club” (nobody show this to Beckham) as Inter Miami has lost three of their last five league matches and five of their last seven in all competitions. But through all of that, Lionel Messi has been getting his shots. That’s been the case all season. Messi has managed two or more shots on target in nine of his ten league games and is averaging 2.55 shots on target per 90 this season.
Then we’ll go to a goals allowed prop north of the border with CF Montreal’s Jonathan Sirois. This is more about riding with LAFC than targeting Sirois for being a bum. He’s been solid this season and Montreal has looked better now that they’ve had a few home games. But they’re out-gunned at nearly every position with LAFC in town. The visitors have scored two or more goals in 10 of 14 MLS matches this season and in seven straight league fixtures.
To close it out, we’re targeting the Whitecaps U22 fullback Edier Ocampo. Vancouver is a week away from the CONCACAF Champions Cup final and will travel to the elevation to take on Real Salt Lake on Saturday night. Ocampo has been much more aggressive than this line indicates this season. He’s averaging 1.86 shot attempts per 90 and has at least one shot attempt in nine of his 11 appearances. RSL is in the top half of the league in opponent shots allowed and we feel good about this line at the standard multiplier.
Using the standard payout selection on Underdog, this 3-pick entry will payout a prize of 6.42x your entry fee if successful.
This month we’ve added some additional plays that can be substituted in place of the props given above if you miss lock for one of those games or one of those options doesn’t start. The additional plays this week are listed in order of preference and we’re fine using these props in any entry.
Chris Brady O 1.5 goals allowed
David Da Costa O 1.5 shots attempted
John Pulskamp O 1.5 goals allowed (1.23x)
Diego Rossi O 2.5 shots attempted (0.86x)
Results
Underdog Fantasy (Last Week): -1 U
Underdog Fantasy (Season): +11.71 U
Week 15 Picks
Inter Miami
ML +190
We discussed the recent Inter Miami struggles in the Underdog portion of the article above. While this past month very well could be a signal that the old Barcelona core group of this roster is actually nearing the end, they’re in a great spot at this number. Luis Suarez is off the injury report after dealing with a personal issue over their last two matches. They didn’t have a midweek match to manage minutes through, so we expect a full run-out here and still love getting Messi and Co. at nearly 2:1.
New England Revolution
DNB +110
We picked on Sporting KC goalkeeper John Pulskamp in the secondary Underdog picks this week and we’re going to do so again at the books. The Revs did play an Open Cup match on Tuesday but fully rotated. We expect them to be full strength headed into Kansas City on Saturday and they’ll potentially have Tomas Chancalay and Luca Langoni back in the mix, who have both been upgraded to questionable for this match. New England has been one of the better road teams to this point of the season, earning 11 points from their seven away fixtures. We’ll take the draw-no-bet option to hedge against SKC finding their offensive footing at home.
FC Cincinnati
DNB +110
Looking to the final game of the weekend and taking high powered FC Cincinnati on the road on Sunday Night Soccer, which has been a winning proposition in 2025. The Knifey Lions are the league’s best road side through three months of play, with 13 points earned away from TQL Stadium. Cincinnati is undefeated against Atlanta in seven straight, with three of those results coming with ATL as the hosts. We’ll go to the draw-no-bet once again at plus money in Week 15 since we don’t have an injury report yet for either team (they will be released Saturday afternoon).
Goal Scorers
Every week we’ll pick a few of our favorite goal scoring options in the betting market. Here are the Week 15 shouts.
Jesus Ferreira +145
Hirving Lozano +160
Gabriel Pec +300
Lionel Messi +115
Denis Bouanga +160
David Da Costa +450
Emil Forsberg +250
Hany Mukhtar +210
Diego Rossi +185
Myrto Uzuni +370
Djordje Mihailovic +170
Ezequiel Ponce +240
Evander +205
To Score 2+ goals
Denis Bouanga +950 (0.5 U)
Results
Last Week: +2.4 U
Season: +11.73 U
