Week 32 MLS Picks
A very slim profit over last weekend’s shortened slate has got us on a new win streak and we celebrate all wins in The North End. That said, we’ve taken the time to enjoy the number in our accounts going up and are ready to lock in for the return of a full slate this matchday.
Before we get to the picks as normal, another reminder that we’ve got an addition to this weekly article in 2025. If you’ve been following along with the podcast during the offseason, you’ll know we’ve partnered with Underdog Fantasy. If you want to play along with us at Underdog, you can sign up today using this link and when you use promo code "NORTHEND" at sign up you'll get up to $1000 in bonus cash plus a free pick!
The official league injury report for Saturday’s games came out Friday afternoon, let’s dive into the Week 32 picks.
Underdog Fantasy Entry of the week
Each match week, we’ll have an Underdog Fantasy entry for you to tail if your heart desires. Let’s get to the board and build a winner!
As of 11:30am CT on Saturday morning, Underdog hasn’t posted any shots attempted or shots on target props for this week. We’ve been in contact with their support and they gave us a wishy-washy “maybe we will maybe we won’t” answer, so we’re not happy. They’ve messed with the way they’re offering MLS props a couple times already this season and have always returned to a more “normal” board the following week, so fingers crossed going forward. We’re still going to provide an entry this weekend, but if this is something that sticks we’ll be reconsidering where we play!
We’ll begin with Atlanta United and their 21-year-old backup goalkeeper who has taken over for Brad Guzan late in the season. Jayden Hibbert was the 19th overall pick in the 2024 MLS Superdraft, spending his rookie year with Atlanta United II and Birmingham Legion. He was promoted to the first team prior to the 2025 season and has appeared in the last two matches for the Five Stipes. Hibbert has been great so far, keeping clean sheets against Nashville SC (impressive) and Toronto FC (not as impressive). He also started in a 1-1 draw against Toronto FC back in mid-July and Atlanta’s final Leagues Cup group stage match against Atlas, conceding once. Facing Columbus Crew on Saturday evening, with their new star striker Wessam Abou Ali fully integrated into the team, poses a tougher test. The Crew are -150 at the books to score two or more and Atlanta United has allowed two or more goals in 17 of 28 league games this season.
Staying in the 6:30pm window, we’ll go back to a familiar name in net for DC United. Luis Barraza has done us well over the second half of the season when we bet against him and we’re going right back to him here. Orlando City SC is in town, a team that won the first leg of the regular season series 4-1 back in March. DC are last in the Eastern Conference, own the league’s worst goal differential and are without Aaron Herrera due to suspension. Orlando is -145 to score two or more goals in this game, as they’ve done in eight of their 14 road matches in league play this season. DC concedes 1.86 goals per game in 2025, making this a perfectly palatable option on the slimmed down MLS board at Underdog.
Then we close it out with Houston’s Jonathan Bond away in the elevation against Colorado Rapids. The Rapids are -150 to score two or more, which is in line with how they’ve done without Djordje Mihailovic over the last month. After trading their best player to Toronto and signing Paxton Aaronson as his replacement, the ‘Pids have scored two or more goals in three of their four games since the trade, earning six points. The Dynamo have given up two or more goals in three of their last five, while Bond is allowing 1.67 goals per 90 this season. Houston also conceded twice in the home leg of this regular season series back in April.
Using the standard payout selection on Underdog, this 3-pick entry will payout a prize of 6x your entry fee if successful.
We’ve added some additional plays that can be substituted in place of the props given above if you miss lock for one of those games or one of those options doesn’t start. The additional plays this week are listed in order of preference and we’re fine using these props in any entry.
Kristijan Kahlina O 1.5 goals allowed
Stefan Frei U 0.5 goals allowed (1.14x)
Results
Underdog Fantasy (Last Week): -1 U
Underdog Fantasy (Season): +22.1 U
Week 32 Picks
Orlando City SC
ML +115
This is simply a match up play. The Lions are headed to the nation’s capital on Saturday to take on DC United. The home side is one of the worst team’s in MLS this season, owning the league’s worst goal differential at -28 over their 29 games. They’re missing Aaron Herrera due to suspension and have nothing to play for but avoiding the wooden spoon. On the flip side, Orlando City sits in fifth in the Eastern Conference with a game in hand on the top four, three points back of being tied for third. They’re by far the more talented team of the two and we’ll take them to pick up three points on the road at plus money.
Austin FC
ML +180
Mikkel Desler popping up on Friday’s injury report isn’t good news for ATX, but they still have more than enough on paper to out-talent the current state of FC Dallas. They’re the worst home team in the Western Conference on a points per game basis (0.86). They’ve been over performing their xG both on the season and to a stronger degree over their last five matches. Austin on the other hand has been greatly under performing their xG this season, second only to St. Louis City after they were only able to squeak one goal past Michael Collodi (who was shown a red card in the 16th minute) and Jacob Jackson (who will start on Saturday) on 42 shot attempts last weekend. But the Verde and Black have come alive offensively over the last two months, scoring 16 goals over their last seven games. We’re going to back them to keep the momentum alive and finally get a win at Toyota Stadium at nearly two-to-one.
Philadelphia Union
ML +210
It never feels great on the surface to take teams who are flying cross-country to play, but in the context of this game it feels like malpractice to pass up. The Union are the best team in MLS at the moment, leading the Supporter’s Shield standings with five games to play and underlying numbers that suggest they should have a larger lead than they do coming into September. BC Place is a tough place to play and the Whitecaps have been a top team in 2025 as well. But Vancouver will be without Brian White in addition to the long term injuries suffered by Ranko Veselinovic, Ryan Gauld and Sam Adekugbe, making this a greatly depleted version of the 2025 Caps. They also had multiple players in action over the international break. We’ll take the Union to win outright at this number after Philly released a clean injury report on Friday afternoon.
Goal Scorers
Every week we’ll pick a few of our favorite goal scoring options in the betting market. Here are the Week 32 shouts.
Christian Benteke +140
Marco Pasalic +205
Wessam Abou Ali +175
Evander +205
Hany Mukhtar +220
Brenner +295
Tomas Chancalay +200
Djordje Mihailovic +285
Eduard Lowen +380
Heung Min Son +155
Nicolas Fernandez Mercau +450
Myrto Uzuni +235
Osman Bukari +310
Paxton Aaronson +250
Dejan Joveljic +195
Kelvin Yeboah +220
Kristoffer Velde +245
Results
Last Week: +1.21 U
Season: +48.33 U
